Tuesday, 11 August 2015
A dead link
Wednesday, 5 August 2015
The changing cost of solar panels
Solar panel costs in the US have fallen by a factor of a couple of hundred since the 1970s. That was when Jimmy Carter put panels on the White House roof, and set a target for 20% of US energy to come from renewables by the turn of the century.
And they would have been, too, if it hadn't been for Ronald "Trees cause more pollution than automobiles do" Reagan. He quietly removed them in 1986, as he was removing department of energy research into clean energy and removing subsidies for wind and solar power.
This was after receiving 270,000 dollars in 1981 from oil executives in appreciation for deregulation of oil prices, estimated worth 2 billion dollars to the oil industry.
The target to get 20% of energy in the US from renewables would have been met if research and subsidies had carried on. Instead, the research and development has gone into adding power to the energy industry.
Carter said “a generation from now, this solar heater can either be a curiosity, a museum piece, an example of a road not taken, or it can be a small part of one of the greatest and most exciting adventures ever undertaken by the American people; harnessing the power of the Sun to enrich our lives as we move away from our crippling dependence on foreign oil.” And as it turns out some of them are in museums: the Smithsonian, the Carter Library and the Solar Science and Technology Museum in Solar Valley, Dezhou, China.
New York Times (1981) http://www.nytimes.com/1981/03/26/us/reagan-aide-sought-funds-from-oilmen.html
Scientific American (2010) http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/carter-white-house-solar-panel-array/
Saturday, 7 September 2013
A roof over our heads
We've now paid off the two-year loan for the solar panels. That means that we own the roof over our heads. This is a great thing. We still don't own the walls or the land beneath us, as those are long-term low-interest loans, but at least we own the roof.
Perhaps we should have put the panels in with the builder's contract, but it seemed to make the financing easier to pay some of this up front and get a separate loan for the rest of it. The rate was higher, but since we paid it back in two years rather than thirty-five, the total cost of the loan was a lot less. The first thing the bank advised us when we put the loan application in was to cut the costs by taking some of the panels off the roof. This is strange because it was about the same time they published this report in Japanese which seems positive towards domestic solar.
Over the year and a half of generation, we've earned 47,000 yen per month on average, and paid 7,500 yen for our electricity bill. We sold 89% of what we generated, so without our panels we would have paid another couple of thousand yen on the electricity bills.
At this rate we'll pay back the investment on the panels in around eight and a half years. I'm not sure who else the bank is lending to, but a return on investments in under nine years seems fairly healthy, and I really don't know why they aren't insisting that all houses they finance put panels on the roof, even offering to fund them in return for the electricity companies paying directly to the bank to repay them.
In terms of kWh we've generated an average 36 kWh per day, which is a little over twice the 16 kWH we use. In terms of the amount of electricity we are getting for each kilowatt of solar panel we have installed, that's 1450 kWh/kW per year or 4 kWh/kW per day.
I'm not exactly sure how much of the cost we can attribute to the roof and how much to the panels. I have a back-of-the-envelope estimate from the architect, printed out on an undated piece of A4 with some of the figures to the nearest yen, and some to the nearest 10,000, which compares the option we took with a conventional roof and solar panels installed on top. It compares an older quote from Rooftech for an integrated roof system of 4.44 kW (actually written as kWh) which was around 3 million yen plus an estimate of 1.35 million for the roof work needed underneath their roof, which ends up as 4.35 million; 4.04 million after getting the grant. The other quote was 2.4 million for 4.81 kW of panels, with a roof estimated at 1.81 million coming to 4.21 million; 3.87 million after the grant.
In other words, the integrated roof and panel system was more expensive than installing panels on a conventional roof, but only about 3 or 4 percent. It should be added that this was for around half the roof area covered with solar panels, and it's not clear what kind of roof the alternative was. Anyway, we chose to go for the integrated roof because it seemed well worth the potentially slightly extra cost for the simpler design elegance.
Friday, 15 February 2013
More revelations from a snowy roof
The sun was trying to poke its head through the clouds soon after it climbed over the mountains, so I cleared the bottom row of panels on the roof before breakfast, then waited for something to happen. There was no generation for quite some time, even when the sky was the blue, and as the sun was out and climbing. By 9:30 large drifts of snow had started sliding off the roof and crashing into the garden. There was still no electrical action, so I went out to look at the roof and around a third of it was clear of snow. Then I went up to the loft to see what the two power conditioners were doing. They weren't doing a lot. I tried switching them off and on again. I think this may have done something but perhaps it was just a coincidence.
I went back up there a little later and the one on the left was generating 0.22 kW while the one on the right was generating over 2. I had assumed that these power conditioners each dealt with half the panels on the roof, the one of the left dealing with the panels on the left, and the one on the right the panels on the right. The roof has 48 panels, Eight high and six wide. The connectors are at the top and bottom, so it makes most sense to connect them in series vertically. I remember they were talking about connecting the panels up in sixes, although I can't find any written evidence of this now. From what I remember, the bottom six panels of each row were connected vertically, then the top two rows of panels were connected in two arrays three wide and two high. A total of eight sets of six panels.
My only explanation for the difference in the two power conditioners is that the top two panels were both connected to the left power conditioner, leading to a lower generation for the panels at the top that were still covered in snow since the snow was falling from the bottom of the roof. Once all the snow melted from the roof, and the generation was higher, the power conditioners were generating around the same amount.
I have noticed that the two power conditioners generated different amounts. This can be explained by three things: differences in the performance of each panel, different lengths of wire and different temperatures.
Each panel produces a slightly different amount of electricity. Although they are rated at 190 watts, they vary in power between 190 and 200. In theory, if all the low generators are in one circuit and the high generators are in the other, there could be 5 Watts difference between the power going into the left power conditioner and the right one, but it's much more likely that the difference will be small and no more than 1 or 2 watts. Even if it is 5 Watts difference, that's only 0.05% out of the 9.12 kW.
The wires to the bottom of the panel are longer. Also, and conversely, there will be more wire in a straight vertical array of six, than an array two high and three wide. More wire means more resistance. Power loss is the resistance times the square of the current. The maximum current of the panels is rated at 5.62 Amps. I'm not sure what gauge they used, but if they used the sums in this EcoWho solar wire sizing calculator , they will have come up with a AWG 12, 2 millimetres gauge, 3 square mm, which according to the Engineering toolbox has a resistance of about 5 milliohms per metre. This would lose 0.17 Watts per metre. Altogether, the panels lower on the roof may have 10 metres more cable, then that's a 1.7 watt difference. This is going to be around 0.05% too.
Since air is flowing under the panels, taking heat off each one, the temperature of the panels at the top of the roof is going to be higher than those at the bottom. The air temperature in the channel gets over 60 degrees in the summer, and there could be a 5 or even 10 degree difference in the panel temperature. Since electrical efficiency drops by around 1% every degree or two, this could drop the output by a 1 or 2% for the circuit with the top arrays compared to the bottom.
Now I don't have any live data for the different generation going through each of each power conditioner, but if you press the right button, rather than the on/off switch, they display the cumulated generation, which is 7,198 kWh for the one on the left, and 7,262 for the one on the right. This is a difference of around 0.8%, so it looks like they connected the two top arrays into the same power conditioner. I suppose the odds of this were even if they had stuck the wires in at random.
When we were talking about the connection of panels I had tried to encourage some kind of optimisation in shortening the wires as much as possible, but the eyes of the contractor started to glaze over and they brushed away my suggestions of optimisation over the next half century of generation in favour of being able to make things easy for the afternoon they were clambering around on my roof.
Knowing what I now know about the rating of the power conditioners being an absolute limit rather than a rough level, so we lose power when the panels get any where near their maximum output, I would have probably pushed more strongly for six vertical arrays of eight panels.
The Power Conditioners will take up to 370 Volts and 24.5 Amps, although it's rated at 250 V, at which it is most efficient. Its maximum power is 4kW at 30 degrees C, and 3.2 kW at 40 degrees C.
The panel maximum voltage is 36.6 Volts. So you could put 10 in series and the voltage would still be under 370 volts. Six panels is only going to be 220 V; less than the rating. Eight panels would be 290 V if they are all producing their maximum voltage. Of course, they're not always going to be producing their maximum voltage, so that's likely to come out around 250 Volts. So I'm not sure why they were putting them together in sixes.
Six circuits of eight rather than eight circuits of six would have reduced the amount of wire on the roof by about 20 metres, which would account for about 0.1% of the power. This doesn't sound a lot, but when you multiply by 50,000 yen, it's one lunch per month. It would also have made the fitting substantially easier, but perhaps they had a good reason for doing it in that way. I can't see any charge per metre of wire used on the invoice, so that's not it.
Maybe when the ten year contract with the electricity company runs out and we look at alternative heat generation, we can fix the wiring on the panels at the same time.
Sunday, 3 February 2013
Another possibly meaningless experiment in solar snow clearing
There was about a centimetre of snow outside this morning, making the ground crisp and clear beneath the blue sky. I postulated that there would be a coating on the roof too. This postulation, at least, was correct.
I also postulated that clearing this snow off the roof would increase the generation, and sure enough it did. Before I cleared the snow, it was generating 1.5 kW, which is not bad for 8 o'clock on a winter morning. I cleared the bottom row of panels of its thin covering of snow, and it went up to 1.8 kW, an increase of 300 watts. The array is 8 x 6, so I'd cleared 1/6, which presumably had been generating 250 watts before, more than doubling when I removed the snow. Another way of looking at it is that the panels generate a little less than half as much electricity when covered with a thin layer of snow.
They will also be absorbing half as much heat, so, as before, clearing these bottom panels speeds up the clearing of the whole roof. Ten minutes later, we were generating over 5 kW.
One interesting thing was that the cosmetic panels, which run up and down each side of the roof to make up the difference between the width of the roof and the dimensions of the panels, were already completely clear of snow from the melting effect of the sun.
I should probably warn you not to try clearing snow off your solar panels yourself. The only reason it's easy and relatively safe in our house is that we have a balcony running along the south side of the house, so I can step onto it from upstairs and easily reach the roof from there with a brush. The biggest danger is bits of snow falling down my neck.
Thursday, 6 December 2012
Cost of solar panels in the US drops by 80% in five years
Sunday, 22 January 2012
Let it snow!
I love snow.
In England when it snows everything stops. People miss school and don't go to work. Traffic systems close down and people can't get to the airport to go on their skiing holidays. Sometimes power cables are brought down and the food in people's freezers is spoiled.
Here in Japan people are used to snow. Matsumoto is not in Snow Country, but is surrounded by it. The snowiest city in the world is apparently Aomori, where it comes in from the sea like waves over the winter. In Hokkaido they have a different front door upstairs, and neighbourhood battles go on as people clear snow into each other's parking spaces as soon as they vacate them.
Clearing snow here, for the most part seems to me a waste of time, although everyone gets very busy doing it. Sooner or later it's going to melt, so why bother? While it's snowing, you can walk on it or drive in it as everyone changes into snow tires from some time in early November when the first hint of white hits the highest mountain peaks. I don't really like driving in snow, so I don't unless I really have to. Like if I'm going skiing. Usually I don't really have to drive. I cycle to work, but can walk or get a bus if necessary.
As a house owner, my view of snow should have changed a little from this childish enthusiasm, but it hasn't yet. My house is effectively at the end of a cul-de-sac, so I don't have any responsibility to clear the thoroughfare in front of it. The biggest worry is the roof and the balcony on the south. Snow is rather heavy. It may be much lighter than water, but you don't get fifty centimetres of water building up all across the top of a house. Actually we don't get snow building up over our roof either, so far. It slides off the southern solar roof well. Some of it does hit the balcony on the way down making a ridge there that seems to sit happily, although most of if falls straight onto the terrace below. Probably a good idea to clear that off in the interest of balcony longevity, but it is not doing too much harm, and we wouldn't need to worry if it snowed while we were out of the country.
Snow is more likely to stay on the north roof as it's shallower, and part of it is in the shade. Snow goes through a melting freezing cycle, and bits of ice come crashing down to where we keep the bicycles.
Obviously snow impedes the performance of the solar panels. When the roof panels are covered, not much sunlight gets through, although of course the radiation that does get through heats the panels, melts the snow on top of it, and helps the snow slide off. Also, when it's actually snowing, few rays get through the clouds and snow. Even so, it was producing something while it was snowing. Admittedly only a hundred watts or so--in the battery charger ball park--and half the 200 watts that the house seems to consume even when everything is switched off. Over a day when it snowed pretty much all the time, we still made 2.3 kWh, which is about 10% of what we used.
I was hoping we'd hit 1000 kWh within the first month of living in the house, but it's snowing again today, so it's looking unlikely.
Wednesday, 24 August 2011
More mind-numbing numbers about solar panels
Wednesday, 17 August 2011
Keeping those panels cool
Saturday, 2 July 2011
Sparks start to fly
I was looking, later, at the 230 watt incandescent bulb that the carpenter has brought to illuminate the workspace. Just wondering what that was doing in a house that's trying to reduce carbon emissions. This one bulb will probably use more electricity than all the lights in the completed house. It would be a great heater on cold winter nights. I'm sure the carpenter has heard of low energy lighting, but it comes down to economics. This kind of bulb is cheaper to buy, and he doesn't have to pay for the electricity. The builders pay for the electricity and the carpenter is just their subcontractor. In fact not even the builders really pay for the electricity, because there's a flat rate regardless of how much is used.
Saturday, 26 March 2011
Roof going round in circles
The South-facing roof is solar. Until recently solar roofs meant building a normal roof (compliant with the regulations for fireproofing and waterproofing) and then solar installers coming along and drilling holes in it to fit on their panels. Drilling holes is fair enough for retro-fits, but for new builds this seems foolish, especially if you're trying to get a highly insulated, airtight roof. Using a different construction does not meet their installation requirements and you lose their guarantee, and the panels themselves don't qualify as roofing.

